Table 4

Diagnostic efficacy of liquid-based cytology, liquid-based cytology with HPV triage, HPV, and HPV with liquid-based cytology triage, using CIN2+ and CIN3+ as reference (n=4043)

Diagnostic test at baseline
% (95% CI)
Liquid-based cytologyLiquid-based cytology
+HPV triage
HPVHPV+ liquid-based cytology triage
Reference: CIN2+
 Sensitivity46.9% (30/64)
(34.3% to 59.8%)
42.2% (27/64)
(29.9% to 55.2%)
82.8% (53/64)
(71.3% to 91.1%)
54.7% (35/64)
(41.7% to 67.2%)
 Specificity96.9% (3,855/3,979)
(96.3% to 97.4%)
98.7% (3,927/3,979)
(98.3% to 99.0%)
93.2% (3,708/3,979)
(92.4% to 94.0%)
97.9% (3,894/3,979)
(97.4% to 98.3%)
 Positive predictive value19.5% (30/154)
(13.5% to 26.6%)
34.2 (27/79)
(23.9% to 45.7%)
16.4% (53/324)
(12.5% to 20.8%)
29.2% (35/120)
(21.2% to 38.2%)
 Negative predictive value99.1 (3,855/3,889)
(98.8% to 99.4%)
99.1% (3,927/3,964)
(98.7% to 99.3%)
99.7% (3,708/3,719)
(99.5% to 99.9%)
99.3% (3,894/3,923)
(98.9% to 99.5%)
Reference: CIN3+
 Sensitivity47.5% (19/40)
(31.5% to 63.9%)
45.0% (18/40)
(29.3% to 61.5%)
90.0% (36/40)
(76.3% to 97.2%)
67.5% (27/40)
(50.9% to 81.4%)
 Specificity96.6% (3,868/4,003)
(96.0% to 97.2%)
98.5% (3,942/4,003)
(98.0% to 98.8%)
92.8% (3,715/4,003)
(92.0% to 93.6%)
97.7% (3,910/4,003)
(97.2% to 98.1%)
 Positive predictive value12.3% (19/154)
(7.6% to 18.6%)
22.8% (18/79)
(14.1% to 33.6%)
11.1% (36/324)
(7.9% to 15.0%)
22.5% (27/120)
(15.4% to 31.0%)
 Negative predictive value99.5% (3,868/3,889)
(99.2% to 99.7%)
99.4% (3,942/3,964)
(99.2% to 99.7%)
99.9% (3,715/3,719)
(99.7% to 100.0%)
99.7% (3,910/3,923)
(99.4% to 99.8%)