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2022-RA-624-ESGO OVA-LEAK: prognostic score for colo-rectal anastomotic leakage in patients undergoing ovariancancer surgery
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  1. Víctor Lago1,
  2. Blanca Segarra-Vidal1,
  3. Serena Cappucio2,
  4. Martina Aida Ángeles3,
  5. Christina Fotopoulou4,
  6. Mustafa Zelal Muallem5,
  7. Israel Manzanedo6,
  8. Jose Luis Sanchez Iglesias7,
  9. Enrique Chacón8,
  10. Pablo Padilla-Iserte1,
  11. Anna Fagotti2,
  12. Gwenael Ferron3,
  13. Luisa Kluge5,
  14. Mathilde Del3,
  15. Giovanni Scambia2,
  16. Lucas Minig9,
  17. Álvaro Tejerizo10,
  18. Myriam García Segovia11,
  19. Pedro Antonio Cascales-Campos12,
  20. David Hervás13,
  21. Santiago Domingo1,
  22. OVA-LEAK Collaborative group
  1. 1University Hospital La Fe, Valencia, Spain
  2. 2Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS and Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy
  3. 3Institut Universitaire du Cancer de Toulouse – Oncopole, Toulouse, France
  4. 4Imperial College London, London, UK
  5. 5Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health, Virchow Campus Clinic, Charité Medical University, Berlin, Germany
  6. 6Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Madrid, Spain
  7. 7University Hospital Vall d’Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
  8. 8University Clinic of Navarra, Navarra, Spain
  9. 9IMED hospitals, Valencia, Spain
  10. 10University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
  11. 11University Hospital La Paz, Madrid, Spain
  12. 12University Hospital La Arrixaca, Murcia, Spain
  13. 13Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, Spain

Abstract

Introduction/Background Colorectal resection and anastomosis is a common procedure in ovarian cancer cytoreductive surgeries. Ostomy decision making processes greatly varies between surgical teams and largely depend not only on training but also traditional aspects and beliefs, surgeons’ preferences, medicolegal aspects and local governance protocols. The objective of the present study was to define and validate an anastomotic leak prognostic score based on previously described and reported anastomotic leak risk factors (https://n9.cl/ova-leakscore)

Methodology This is a retrospective, multicentre cohort study that included patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery for primary advanced or relapsed ovarian cancer with colorectal resection and anastomosis between January 2011 and June 2021. Data from patients already included in the previous predictive model were not considered in the present analysis.

Results 848 out of 1159 recruited patients were finally included in the multivariable logistic regression model validation. The AUC of the new cohort was 0.63. Considering a cut-off point of 22.1% to be ‘positive’ (to get a leak) this would provide a sensitivity of 0.45, specificity of 0.80, predictive positive value of 0.09 and predictive negative value of 0.97 for anastomotic leak. If we consider this cut-off point to select patients for bowel diversion, up to 22.5% of the sampled patients would undergo a diverting ileostomy and 47% (18/40) of the anastomotic leaks would be ‘protected’ with the stoma. Nevertheless, if we consider only the ‘clinical criteria’ for performing or not a diverting ileostomy, only 12.5% (5/40) of the leaks would be ‘protected’ with a stoma, with a rate of diverting ileostomy of up to 24.3%.

Conclusion Compared with subjective clinical criteria, the use of a predictive model for anastomotic leak improves the selection of patients who would benefit from a diverting ileostomy without increasing the rate of stoma use.

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